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Distractions and amusements, with a sandwich and coffee.

Drive, driven. Gave, given.
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I collaborated with Scientific American to create a data graphic for the September 2014 issue. The graphic compared the genomes of the Denisovan, bonobo, chimp and gorilla, showing how our own genomes are almost identical to the Denisovan and closer to that of the bonobo and chimp than the gorilla.

Here you'll find Hilbert curve art, a introduction to Hilbertonians, the creatures that live on the curve, an explanation of the Scientific American graphic and downloadable SVG/EPS Hilbert curve files.

There are wheels within wheels in this village and fires within fires!

— Arthur Miller (The Crucible)

The Hilbert curve is one of many space-filling curves. It is a mapping between one dimension (e.g. a line) and multiple dimensions (e.g. a square, a cube, etc). It's useful because it preserves locality—points that are nearby on the line are usually mapped onto nearby points on the curve.

The Hilbert curve is a line that gives itself a hug.

It's a pretty strange mapping, to be sure. Although a point on a line maps uniquely onto the curve this is not the case in reverse. At infinite order the curve intersects itself infinitely many times! This shouldn't be a surprise if you consider that the unit square has the same number of points as the unit line. Now that's the real surprise! So surprising in fact that it apparently destabilized Cantor's mind, who made the initial discovery.

Bryan Hayes has a great introduction (Crinkly Curves) to the Hilbert curve at American Scientist.

If manipulated so that its ends are adjacent, the Hilbert curve becomes the Moore curve.

The order 1 curve is generated by dividing a square into quadrants and connecting the centers of the quadrants with three lines. Which three connections are made is arbitrary—different choices result in rotations of the curve.

The order 6 curve is the highest order whose structure can be discerned at this figure resolution. Though just barely. The length of this curve is about 64 times the width of the square, so about 9,216 pixels! That's tight packing.

By order 7 the structure in the 620 pixel wide image (each square is 144 px wide) cannot be discerned. By order 8 the curve has 65,536 points, which exceeds the number of pixels its square in the figure. A square of 256 x 256 would be required to show all the points without downsampling.

Two order 10 curves have 1,048,576 points each and would approximately map onto all the pixels on an average monitor (1920 x 1200 pixels).

A curve of order 33 has `7.38 * 10^19` points and if drawn as a square of average body height would have points that are an atom's distance from one another (`10^{-10}` m).

By mapping the familiar rainbow onto the curve you can see how higher order curves "crinkle" (to borrow Bryan's term) around the square.

order | points | segments | length |

`n` | `4^n` | `4^{n-1}` | `2^n-2^{-n}` |

1 | 4 | 3 | 1.5 |

2 | 16 | 15 | 3.75 |

3 | 64 | 63 | 7.875 |

4 | 256 | 255 | 15.9375 |

5 | 1,024 | 1,023 | 31.96875 |

6 | 4,096 | 4,095 | 63.984375 |

7 | 16,384 | 16,383 | 127.9921875 |

8 | 65,536 | 65,535 | 255.99609375 |

9 | 262,144 | 262,143 | 511.998046875 |

10 | 1,048,576 | 1,048,575 | 1023.9990234375 |

11 | 4,194,304 | 4,194,303 | 2047.99951171875 |

12 | 16,777,216 | 16,777,215 | 4095.99975585938 |

13 | 67,108,864 | 67,108,863 | 8191.99987792969 |

14 | 268,435,456 | 268,435,455 | 16383.9999389648 |

15 | 1,073,741,824 | 1,073,741,823 | 32767.9999694824 |

16 | 4,294,967,296 | 4,294,967,295 | 65535.9999847412 |

17 | 17,179,869,184 | 17,179,869,183 | 131071.999992371 |

18 | 68,719,476,736 | 68,719,476,735 | 262143.999996185 |

19 | 274,877,906,944 | 274,877,906,943 | 524287.999998093 |

20 | 1,099,511,627,776 | 1,099,511,627,775 | 1048575.99999905 |

21 | 4,398,046,511,104 | 4,398,046,511,103 | 2097151.99999952 |

22 | 17,592,186,044,416 | 17,592,186,044,415 | 4194303.99999976 |

23 | 70,368,744,177,664 | 70,368,744,177,663 | 8388607.99999988 |

24 | 281,474,976,710,656 | 281,474,976,710,655 | 16777215.9999999 |

You can download the basic curve shapes for orders 1 to 10 and experiment yourself. Both square and circular forms are available.

Two-level factorial experiments, in which all combinations of multiple factor levels are used, efficiently estimate factor effects and detect interactions—desirable statistical qualities that can provide deep insight into a system.

They offer two benefits over the widely used one-factor-at-a-time (OFAT) experiments: efficiency and ability to detect interactions.

Since the number of factor combinations can quickly increase, one approach is to model only some of the factorial effects using empirically-validated assumptions of effect sparsity and effect hierarchy. Effect sparsity tells us that in factorial experiments most of the factorial terms are likely to be unimportant. Effect hierarchy tells us that low-order terms (e.g. main effects) tend to be larger than higher-order terms (e.g. two-factor or three-factor interactions).

Smucker, B., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2019) Points of significance: Two-level factorial experiments *Nature Methods* **16**:211–212.

Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2014) Points of significance: Designing comparative experiments.. Nature Methods 11:597–598.

Digits, internationally

Celebrate `\pi` Day (March 14th) and set out on an exploration explore accents unknown (to you)!

This year is purely typographical, with something for everyone. Hundreds of digits and hundreds of languages.

A special kids' edition merges math with color and fat fonts.

Check out art from previous years: 2013 `\pi` Day and 2014 `\pi` Day, 2015 `\pi` Day, 2016 `\pi` Day, 2017 `\pi` Day and 2018 `\pi` Day.

One moment you're `:)`

and the next you're `:-.`

Make sense of it all with my Tree of Emotional life—a hierarchical account of how we feel.

One of my color tools, the `colorsnap`

application snaps colors in an image to a set of reference colors and reports their proportion.

Below is Times Square rendered using the colors of the MTA subway lines.

*Drugs could be more effective if taken when the genetic proteins they target are most active.*

Design tip: rediscover CMYK primaries.

More of my American Scientific Graphic Science designs

Ruben et al. A database of tissue-specific rhythmically expressed human genes has potential applications in circadian medicine *Science Translational Medicine* **10** Issue 458, eaat8806.

We focus on the important distinction between confidence intervals, typically used to express uncertainty of a sampling statistic such as the mean and, prediction and tolerance intervals, used to make statements about the next value to be drawn from the population.

Confidence intervals provide coverage of a single point—the population mean—with the assurance that the probability of non-coverage is some acceptable value (e.g. 0.05). On the other hand, prediction and tolerance intervals both give information about typical values from the population and the percentage of the population expected to be in the interval. For example, a tolerance interval can be configured to tell us what fraction of sampled values (e.g. 95%) will fall into an interval some fraction of the time (e.g. 95%).

Altman, N. & Krzywinski, M. (2018) Points of significance: Predicting with confidence and tolerance *Nature Methods* **15**:843–844.

Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2013) Points of significance: Importance of being uncertain. Nature Methods 10:809–810.